Use cases
Five illustrative scenarios showing how RiskCurrent frames a shock: what sets it off, which groups it touches, and what to watch as it travels. These are teaching examples, not forecasts.
A chokepoint closure or major producer outage removes supply from the market.
Transmission pathway
Watch crude spreads, tanker rates, and strategic-reserve announcements before headline prices move.
Deposit flight or a large mark-to-market loss surfaces at a systemically connected bank.
Transmission pathway
Watch interbank funding spreads and central-bank facility usage — they move before equity prices do.
Leading indicators roll over together: new orders, hours worked, and credit demand.
Transmission pathway
Watch the breadth of deterioration across groups — single-group weakness rarely becomes a recession.
A cold winter or supply cut collides with low gas storage across the continent.
Transmission pathway
Watch storage-fill rates against seasonal norms and industrial curtailment announcements.
Energy, food, and shipping costs re-accelerate while labor markets stay tight.
Transmission pathway
Watch upstream input prices and freight — they lead consumer prices by months, not weeks.
Who uses it
The scenarios above matter to different people for different reasons.
Cross-asset context before positioning decisions.
Scan group-level stress each morning; drill into the groups that touch current exposure.
Early sight of pressure on supply chains, energy costs, and counterparties.
Watchlists on the groups that map to the firm's real-world dependencies.
A structured, comparable view of stress across domains and time.
Historical snapshots to compare today's configuration against past stress episodes.
A coherent picture of where systemic pressure is concentrating.
Transmission pathways to reason about second-order effects of shocks and interventions.